Will the price of gasoline and diesel in the United Arab Emirates increase or decrease in January 2026

January fuel prices in the UAE are predicted to remain near December due to a little year-end increase in oil. Dubai: In the upcoming days, fuel prices in the UAE for January 2026 will be revealed. Drivers’ payments in the upcoming month may be impacted by the modest increase in global oil markets at the end of December. Super 98 increased from Dh2.63 to Dh2.70 in December, up around 2.7% from the previous month; Special 95 grew from Dh2.51 to Dh2.58, up approximately 2.8%; E-Plus 91 increased from Dh2.44 to Dh2.51, up approximately 2.9%; and diesel increased from Dh2.67 to Dh2.85, up approximately 6.7%.

From November to December, prices increased marginally as the cost of oil increased and supply concerns increased as the year came to a close. Fuel prices in the UAE followed changes in the global market throughout 2025, peaking in the middle of the year, declining in the months that followed, and then leveling off once more by December. Costs are impacted by oil trends Both the US crude benchmark and the key global oil benchmark Brent saw gains of more than 4.5% in the final trading days of December, indicating a minor increase in global oil prices at the end of the year. Stronger demand signals in the US and rekindled global tensions were the causes of the increase. Price increases were also caused by supply risks. Due to insufficient onshore storage, additional crude was forced to sit offshore in tankers, slowing supply flows, while US enforcement measures delayed Venezuela’s oil shipments.

Disruptions are more difficult to replace because some refineries use Venezuelan heavy crude to make diesel and jet fuel. Expectations of increased Russian supply are further constrained by the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. However, worries about too much oil still exist. US oil supplies have recently increased, according to industry data, and analysts still predict that global inventories will rise through 2026, reducing the likelihood of a prolonged price increase. How prices will seem in January Current oil trends indicate that January fuel prices will remain near December levels, with estimates of increased global stockpiles basically offsetting slight late-year crude gains. Petrol and diesel prices are predicted to stay mostly unchanged unless crude makes a stronger move.

If supply problems in Venezuela develop or geopolitical threats increase, a slight increase is still possible. This would raise benchmark prices sufficiently to push up UAE pump rates. If verified stockpile data reveals larger-than-expected builds or if demand cools after the holidays—conditions that would put greater downward pressure on diesel than petrol—a minor decline is less plausible but not impossible. What this implies for drivers Fuel prices in January should be comparable to those in December. Depending on the final crude averages, slight variations could occur in either direction. Before the start of the new month, prices will be finalized in the final days of December.

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